| Annotation Metadata
|
^"permissions":^"read":ӶӺ,"update":ӶӺ,"delete":ӶӺ,"admin":ӶӺ°,"user":^"id":6,"name":"Sarah Oberbichler"°,"id":"Jwhe49keaa","ranges":Ӷ^"start":"/divӶ3Ӻ/divӶ4Ӻ/divӶ1Ӻ/pӶ18Ӻ","startOffset":0,"end":"/divӶ3Ӻ/divӶ4Ӻ/divӶ1Ӻ/pӶ19Ӻ","endOffset":500°Ӻ,"quote":"The procedure of making predictions on the strength of past experience is not only the mainstay of science but also underlies almost every action we carry out in our everyday lives. However, whereas scientists as a rule explicitly formulate their predictions, the ordinary human subject leaves them implicit in the successful ways of acting that have been turned into habits. When we open the door to the dark staircase that leads to the basement, we do not ‘predict’ that our feet will find steps to walk down, we simply trust that the stairs are still there. This trust must be no less, but need be no more, than Hume held to be necessary: \n\nIf there be any Suspicion, that the Course of Nature may change, and that the past may be no Rule for the future, all Experience becomes useless, and can give rise to no Inferences or Conclusions. (Hume, 1750, Essay IV, Part II) \n\nNeedless to say, suspicion about the continuing stability of the world we live in would not only vitiate the formulation of inferences and conclusions but would also turn every step we take and every movement we make into an exploration of terra incognita. Prediction, in one form or another, permeates our living, and the expectation that the efficient causes we have isolated in the past will have their effects also in the future, is the key to whatever success we have in managing our experience.","highlights":Ӷ^"jQuery32109494004771408062":^°°,^"jQuery32109494004771408062":^°°,^"jQuery32109494004771408062":^°°,^"jQuery32109494004771408062":^°°Ӻ,"text":"","order":"mw-content-text","category":"Argumentation2","data_creacio":1576071910577°
|
